Oil prices set for steep monthly drop as Trump, Iran issue mixed messages on talks in Qatar

The moves come as oil traders monitor the prospect of U.S.-Iran talks in Doha on Tuesday.

Skip NavigationJoin ICJoin ProLivestreamMenu

  • Oil prices were slightly higher as traders focused on the prospect of fresh talks between the U.S. and Iran in Doha.
  • Trump has said talks will take place in Qatar’s capital on Tuesday, although a spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry has denied this.
  • The mixed messaging reaffirms the fragility of an interim peace deal struck by the U.S. and Iran earlier this month.

People walk along the Corniche area in Doha, Qatar, on June 29, 2026. United States and Iranian negotiators are scheduled to hold high-level talks in Doha, according to media reports.Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Oil prices were slightly higher on Tuesday as energy market participants closely monitored the potential for fresh talks between the U.S. and Iran in Qatar.

International benchmark Brent crude futures with August delivery were last seen up 0.2% at $73.32 per barrel, erasing earlier losses. The contract, however, is on track to end June roughly $19 lower, or 20% lower than the closing session on May 29. Brent crude futures with September delivery, meanwhile, rose 0.5% at $74.29.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures with August delivery traded 0.5% higher at $71.08, putting the contract on course for a $16 drop, or 19% fall, from last month’s closing.

The moves come as oil traders monitor the prospect of U.S.-Iran talks in Doha on Tuesday.

U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said talks between the two countries would take place in Qatar’s capital on Tuesday, claiming via social media that Tehran had “requested a meeting” following an exchange of strikes over the weekend.

A spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry on Monday reportedly denied that talks were scheduled over the coming days. They added that an Iranian technical delegation’s visit to Qatar this week was not related to U.S. officials visiting the country.

The mixed messaging appears to underscore the fragility of an interim peace deal struck by the U.S. and Iran earlier this month.

The two countries struck a 14-point memorandum of understanding on June 17 to pause fighting that had severely disrupted global oil flows through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz.

Located in the gulf between Oman and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is recognized as one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints. The narrow waterway typically handles around 20% of the world’s oil traffic.

‘Situation can change very quickly’

Energy analysts say they have been surprised by the pace of the sell-off in the oil market, noting that it has been far more aggressive than most had expected.

“The price action in recent weeks reflects a market that is treating this temporary ceasefire between the US and Iran as a permanent deal. This is clearly not the case, and as we have seen over the last four months, the situation can change very quickly,” strategists at ING said in a research note published Monday.

“It took long enough to agree on a temporary ceasefire. Reaching a permanent deal which tackles the nuclear issue within 60 days would be very optimistic. Of course, there is always the potential for the ceasefire to be extended, which would effectively be kicking the can down the road,” they added.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

About The Author

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

About the Author

Easy WordPress Websites Builder: Versatile Demos for Blogs, News, eCommerce and More – One-Click Import, No Coding! 1000+ Ready-made Templates for Stunning Newspaper, Magazine, Blog, and Publishing Websites.

BlockSpare — News, Magazine and Blog Addons for (Gutenberg) Block Editor

Search the Archives

Access over the years of investigative journalism and breaking reports