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- United Airlines’ fourth-quarter earnings outlook came in below Wall Street estimates.
- The outlook means United expects lower earnings overall for 2026 as fuel costs bite.
- Even still, United said passengers continued to book, with passenger counts up more than 2% from last year.
A United Airlines Boeing 787 takes off from Heathrow Airport in London, March 31, 2026.Peter Nicholls | Getty Images
United Airlines is slashing its profit forecast for the year as fuel costs continue to bite, but the carrier said passengers keep booking.
United said Tuesday that it expects to earn between 50 cents and $1.50 a share on an adjusted basis in the fourth quarter, well below the $1.76 a share Wall Street analysts expected. At the high end of that range, it would bring United’s 2026 adjusted earnings to no more than $7.22 per share. In mid-July, United said it was expecting full-year earnings of $9 to $11 a share.
The carrier expects to pay an average of $4.80 a gallon for fuel in the fourth quarter, up from an average price of $3.90 a gallon in the third.
A surge in fuel prices this year has added billions of dollars to airlines’ costs, eating into profits, despite strong demand, and driving up airfares.
Here is what United Airlines reported for the quarter that ended Sept. 30 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on estimates compiled by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $2.54 adjusted vs. $2.57 expected
- Revenue: $17.88 billion vs. $17.9 billion expected
United’s third-quarter net income rose 8.5% from a year earlier to $1.03 billion, or $3.14 a share. During the same period last year its net income totaled $949 million, or $2.90 a share.
“Our employees met the challenge of our ever-changing environment and our results prove the resilience of focusing on building a brand-loyal airline for customers,” United CEO Scott Kirby said in an earnings release.
United’s fuel bill rose close to 62% in the quarter from a year earlier to $4.84 billion.
Revenue for the three months ended Sept. 30 rose 17.4% from a year earlier to $17.88 billion, compared with $15.23 billion the year before.
Domestic passenger unit revenue rose 14.5% from a year earlier, while international unit revenue was up 17.4%, a sign of higher fares. Passengers continue to book, United said, with passenger counts up more than 2% from last year.
Adjusting for one-time items, United reported net income of $833 million or $2.54 a share.
