Initial US-Iran deal ‘should not be overestimated’

“I would keep my expectations extremely low,” former Middle East advisor for the US State Department, Aaron David Miller, told DW. Even if an agreement is reached, negotiations will continue on a wide range of contentious issues.

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The United States and Iran appear once again to be on the brink of an agreement to end their months-long conflict, with mediators and officials pointing to tangible progress.

Experts say what is currently on the table is not a comprehensive peace deal but a short memorandum of understanding — a first step designed to halt escalation and reopen negotiations.

Speaking with DW, former Middle East advisor and negotiator for the US State Department, Aaron David Miller, said: “What you’ve done is buy yourself a ticket, on both sides, to a negotiation that is going to be long and tedious.” 

At the heart of the talks are deeply complex issues: Iran‘s stockpile of highly enriched uranium, sanctions relief, control over the Strait of Hormuz, and broader questions of regional security.

“All of these issues contain a universe of complexity and detail that will have to be ironed out,” Miller said.

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