Is US-Iran deal already on the verge of collapse?

Tensions are escalating once again between the US and Iran, just days after the two sides reached an agreement to end the war. Both sides have exchanged strikes over three consecutive days, raising fresh concerns about stability in the Gulf.

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Is this just a brief escalation — or a sign of a longer-term shift that could reshape energy prices and the region’s future?

Following the US–Iran MOU, oil prices initially fell, though renewed tensions have since triggered short-lived volatility. With disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing clashes between Lebanon and Israel, the current agreement appears fragile.

DW speaks with Simon Mabon, a Middle East politics expert at Lancaster University, about the broader implications of the latest escalation between the United States and Iran.

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