Japan’s core inflation accelerates in July, bolsters case for rate hike
FILE PHOTO: A staff fills up gas in a customer’s car at a gasoline station in Tokyo, Japan, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo
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TOKYO, Aug 21 : Japan’s core consumer inflation accelerated in July from a year earlier as firms passed on rising import costs from a weak yen and the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, data showed on Friday, bolstering the case for a rate hike from the central bank.
The data will be among the factors the Bank of Japan will scrutinise at its next policy meeting on September 17 and 18, when it is widely expected to raise rates to 1.25 per cent from 1 per cent.
The core consumer price index (CPI), which includes energy-related items but excludes volatile fresh food prices, rose 1.8 per cent in July from a year earlier, matching a median forecast.
It followed a 1.6 per cent rise in June and remained below the BOJ’s 2 per cent target for a seventh straight month, due largely to the effect of government subsidies aimed at curbing fuel costs.
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Analysts expect core inflation to accelerate above the BOJ’s target in the coming months as the transfer of raw material costs, which led to a spike in wholesale inflation, broadens.
An index that strips out both volatile fresh food and fuel, which is closely watched by the BOJ as a better gauge of underlying inflation, rose 1.9 per cent in July from a year earlier after a 1.7 per cent gain in June.
After raising interest rates to a 31-year high of 1 per cent in June, the central bank kept monetary policy steady in July but issued its strongest warning to date of mounting inflation risks.
Sources have told Reuters that the BOJ is set to raise rates as soon as September and is considering hiking more aggressively thereafter from the current pace of roughly two times a year.
Source: Reuters
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