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LivestreamMenuNvidia has become embroiled in a potential espionage scandal that could weigh on its shares — and the entire semiconductor industry — for a while, according to several Wall Street analysts. On Sunday, Nvidia co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang confirmed earlier reports that he had an extramarital affair with a businesswoman suspected of being a Chinese spy by U.S. intelligence agencies. Nvidia has opened an investigation into the matter, its board of directors said Sunday in a statement. China dismissed espionage claims, with the country’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs saying the allegations are “smears against China.” In the meantime, the U.S. could restrict the semiconductor firm’s ability to sell chips to China and do business with other foreign entities — a move that would likely pressure Nvidia shares, according to Baird analyst Tristan Gerra. “These developments will result in the U.S. government repelling its license allowing Nvidia to ship H200 to China-based customers, removing any chance Blackwell or future generations of AI architectures ship to China, and addressing loopholes enabling shipment of AI chips to Southeast Asia-based data center operators,” Gerra said Monday in a note to clients. NVDA YTD mountain NVDA year to date Congressional Republicans have also asked Huang to provide a closed-door hearning in front of lawmakers later this month amid the allegations. “The primary outcome of the hearing will pertain to [graphic processing unit (GPU)] exports and legal loopholes in need of stricter oversight,” Gerra wrote. Baird has an outperform rating on Nvidia. It also has a $500 price target on shares, implying 168% upside from Friday’s close. Nvidia was last down roughly 6% in premarket trading on Monday. Last week, the stock fell nearly 8% as reports of Huang’s ties to a suspected spy intensified and amid a broader tech stock rout. The New York Times first reported on the alleged Chinese spy targeting Huang on Oct. 29. Several analysts have suggested that any overhang on Nvidia resulting from the scandal could persist for a while, although many shops have maintained their ratings and price targets on the stock. Here’s what others on the Street are saying about the security situation and its effect on Nvidia. Bernstein: Outperform, $400 price target “At a minimum we suspect the overhang is going to be around for a while.” Raymond James: Strong Buy, $515 “Likely strengthen congressional support for legislation such as the MATCH Act, which would further restrict semiconductor and chipmaking equipment sales to China.” Clear Street “The larger risk is to sentiment and valuation if governance uncertainty adds to existing concerns around AI infrastructure spending and returns over the coming several [quarters].” Melius: Buy, $315 “The knee-jerk reaction here could be to think competitors like Broadcom and AMD might benefit from any issues at Nvidia from a market share standpoint over the long-term – but that is nearly impossible to predict at this point…While the headlines make interesting news, they are unlikely to impact any near-term purchase decisions amidst a massive compute shortage. The AI movement will march on and Nvidia has the best allocations to serve it.”Read More














