Germany: Economic institutes double growth forecast for 2026

Experts predict German GDP will double to 1.3% this year but warn of structural difficulties ahead. The picture is complicated, they say, especially because of uncertainty in the energy sector.

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The Frankfurt skyline as seen on June 18, 2026
Economic experts see Germany’s GDP slowly picking up steamImage: Hannes P. Albert/dpa/picture alliance

Several leading German economic think tanks on Thursday announced they had increased their earlier GDP growth forecasts for the country.

New numbers now predict an uptick of 1.3% for 2026, more than double that of spring forecasts of 0.6% growth.

In their so-called “Autumn 2026 Joint Economic Forecast,” this year titled “Recovery Under Structural Stress — Fiscal Policy on Slippery Ground,” five institutes — the German Institute for Economic Research, the IfO Institute, the Kiel Institute for Global Economics, the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Halle and the RWI-Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Essen also adjusted their economic outlook for 2027, predicting 1.1% growth.

The picture looks less rosy in 2028, when GDP is expected to slow to just 0.4% growth.     

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